Conservatives close gap on Labour to 2 points as Reform trails in polling
A GB News report said polling put the Conservatives within two points of Labour and ahead of Reform, with no budget bounce for Andy Burnham.
How it was covered
- GB News was the only channel found covering it, concentrating on the Conservative polling recovery under Badenoch and Reform's difficulties.
- Channel 5, BBC News, BBC One, BBC Two, Channel 4, ITV and Sky News: not found in tracked broadcasts.
The Full Story
A plain summary built from the channels that reported this story. Facts only one channel reported are attributed to it.
GB News reported that polling showed the Conservatives within two percentage points of Labour and ahead of Reform, with Kemi Badenoch closing the gap. The broadcaster said the figures showed no budget bounce for Andy Burnham. It said expectations of an early election after a budget success were fading.
The programme said the Conservative Party had been below 20% a year earlier, when Reform led, and that the Liberal Democrats were below 10%. In his opening monologue, Jacob Rees-Mogg said the right was easiest to unite under the Conservative banner. He argued that Reform had made mistakes and lacked the administrative backing or policy heft to be a serious prospect for government.
On the GB News panel, political commentator Benjamin Butterworth said the polling was not yet cause for celebration for the Conservatives. He said Labour might not be disappointed because the Conservatives regaining ground from Reform could be strategically helpful to Labour. He also said Labour remained on 28% and that many voters still did not trust the Conservatives.
Julia Lopez, also on the panel, said there was no room for complacency and the Conservatives still needed to rebuild trust with voters. She said the party was seeing an uptick among younger voters and pointed to policies on stamp duty, student loans and business taxes.
Key Claims
Claims reported during this story's coverage, grouped by how many channels reported each one. Select a dot to see the source excerpt.
| Claim | |
|---|---|
| Only on one channel | |
| GB News reported polling figures showing Labour on 28 percent, the Conservatives within two percentage points and ahead of Reform, and no budget bounce for Andy Burnham. | |
Channel Perspectives
What each channel focused on, with key quotes.
GB News's coverage was driven by Jacob Rees-Mogg's opening monologue, which framed the polling as evidence that the right should unite under the Conservatives and that Reform lacks governing capacity. The panel then debated whether the Tory recovery is durable, with Benjamin Butterworth arguing Labour could still benefit and Julia Lopez urging no complacency. The tone was broadly sympathetic to Kemi Badenoch's leadership.
- “The Tories are picking up. Kemi Badenoch has got us within 2% of Labour and ahead of reform.”
- “there was no budget bounce for Andy Burnham”
- “our friends in reform have had a few difficulties, they've had a few mistakes, a few missteps”
Who was on air
People and organisations each channel put on air while covering this story. Channels' own presenters and reporters are not listed. Names as transcribed, and the list can miss people.
- 20:08 GMT
Benjamin Butterworth, political commentator
Jacob Rees-Mogg's State Of The · Wed 4 Nov
Broadcast Timeline
News broadcasts tracked for this story, in time order.
