The Full Story

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Rural Welsh-speaking communities are in decline, new analysis of census figures suggests, as school closures and depopulation take their toll on the language's everyday use.

The number of Welsh speakers across Wales is rising overall, but the picture is uneven. In rural neighbourhoods where Welsh has been part of the fabric of daily life, the number of such households has fallen by almost 40% in the past 25 years, according to analysis by ITV News of census data.

One example is the village of Tegrin, between Carmarthen and Cardigan. The local primary school, Ysgol Claddai, has taught children exclusively in Welsh for nearly 150 years. But a dwindling population of children has forced its closure. The school's last day brought the community together to reminisce, but there was a profound feeling of sadness. The headteacher was too emotional to speak, and one parent described how her seven-year-old daughter "just keeps crying every morning" because she does not want the school to close.

Falling birth rates and a surge in young adults leaving for cities have reduced the number of primary school pupils in the area by nearly 20% in a decade. Locals say the housing market is part of the problem. As one resident put it: "Locals can't afford to buy the homes here, so normally it means that they come here without any young children, no families, no Welsh background, can't understand the language, probably aren't gonna learn it at 50, 60 years old, and then we lose a massive part of our heritage."

This week, the National Eisteddfod, Wales' annual celebration of Welsh language and culture, is being held nearby. Yet the proportion of Welsh speakers in the local area has fallen below 50% over the last decade.

The decline in rural communities contrasts sharply with the situation in cities like Cardiff, where a record number of Welsh speakers was registered this summer. However, that number represents just over a quarter of the population there, a much lower percentage than in traditional heartlands.

The fear among campaigners is that the redistribution of Welsh speakers around the country threatens the use of Welsh as a community language. They want planners to be able to refuse developments that could damage the Welsh language. The Welsh Government has backed some of these calls, but faces questions about whether more red tape is the answer to the housing and jobs crises affecting rural areas.

A government spokesperson said: "More houses, we want. We have announced our plans to build more social housing in Wales. We believe in tackling the real problem of rural depopulation." When pressed on whether they would block housing developments, the spokesperson said: "I said I'd be happy to have more housing developments," and stressed the need for "spatially thinking about what kind of nation we want this to be."

As the bell rang for the final time at Ysgol Claddai, the fear remains that without young families and schools like this one, the widespread everyday use of Welsh could gradually fade.

On screen

Stills are sampled automatically at 60-second intervals. Where shown, the still is the nearest available frame from the relevant broadcast segment and is included to show what was on screen during that part of the broadcast. A still may not correspond to the exact second of a quoted phrase.

ITV1, ITV News at Ten, 6 August 2026

Key Claims

Claims reported during this story's coverage, mapped by channel. Ordered by how many channels carried each claim.

Claim ITV
Primary school pupil numbers in the area around Tegrin fell by nearly 20% in a decade.
The number of rural households using Welsh in everyday life fell by almost 40% in 25 years.
The proportion of Welsh speakers near the National Eisteddfod fell below 50% over the last decade.

Channel Perspectives

What each channel focused on, with key quotes.

ITV

ITV News at Ten focused on the human and emotional impact of a specific school closure, using it as a lens to explore broader census trends. The report highlighted the contrast between rising Welsh speaker numbers overall and the sharp decline in rural heartlands, and gave space to both campaigners and government responses on planning policy.

Key Quotes:
  • “In the past 25 years, the number of such households is down almost 40%.”
  • “Locals can't afford to buy the homes here, so normally it means that they come here without any young children, no families, no Welsh background, can't understand the language, probably aren't gonna learn it at 50, 60 years old, and then we lose a massive part of our heritage.”
  • “The fear is that without young families and schools like this one, the widespread everyday use of Welsh could gradually fade.”

Broadcast Timeline

News broadcasts tracked for this story, in time order.

ITV News at Ten